The scenario methodology is about developing a set of stories of how the future may turn out to be, in situations where a simple prognosis, forecast or prediction is of little value due to high levels of uncertainty and complexity. The stories describe neither the most likely nor the most desirable futures, the idea is to present plausible and challenging tales, which are important to consider. The process of developing these future-stories, can be very valuable in itself, but the finalized scenarios can also have a wide range of applications, in areas such as strategy making, idea generation, external communication, etc .
The characteristics of our assignments can differ, depending of the clients needs. Sometimes it is important for the client to play an active part in the whole scenario building process, which will be facilitated by Econ Pöyry. In other projects Econ Pöyry develops research based scenario sets, with little involvement from the client during the process. Econ Pöyry also offer assistance in the application of a wide range of other methods for understanding the future, such as prognosis, modelling, the Delphi-method, etc.
Please contact Bjørn Brunstad for further information.
ECON
